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The next big martial arts event is just around the corner! The leading sportsbooks online have their UFC 272 betting odds ready, so it’s time to take a look at them for good gambling opportunities.

I pay special attention to the UFC 272 Main Event between Colby Covington and Jorge Masvidal in this post, but I also analyze the odds for the rest of the main card for March 6.

The goal is to uncover the best bets based on my UFC 272 predictions, so let’s go!

Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal Analysis, Odds, and Prediction

Long gone are the times when Colby Covington and Jorge Masvidal were friends and trained together at the American Top Team! Chaos started trashing his teammates, including Mas, and many believe that’s the main reason why Covington parted ways with the gym in 2020.

The former pals have been feuding on social media ever since and exchanging blows on every possible occasion.

It feels like this fight has been coming for a while, and it’s the only one that makes sense after Colby’s second defeat against Usman.

The two will finally meet in the Octagon on March 6. Let’s take a look at the latest UFC 272 betting odds to see how the top UFC sportsbooks view this one.

  • Colby Covington to Win; -325
  • Jorge Masvidal to Win; +245
  • Over 4.5 Rounds; -150
  • Under 4.5 Rounds; +120

Covington is the overwhelming favorite in this clash, and for a good reason. Many believe that he and Usman are on another level compared to every other welterweight fighter right now.

Colby’s only two defeats in the past six years came in close encounters against the champion. He won convincingly against any other fighter he met, while Masvidal’s record is far from impeccable.

He has lost four of his last seven fights. His last truly impressive victory against a top opponent came against Darren Till in 2019.

Masvidal’s limited style has been the main issue. Covington’s relentless aggression and superior wrestling should prove too much for his rival.


The only problem I see is that Colby rarely finishes his opponents despite his domination and volume. There’s a world in which Masvidal catches him on the feet, but we all know that’s going to be the game plan for him.

I believe that Covington will wear him down and aim to control the fight. A decision win for the favorite makes the most sense, and that’s my prediction for this one.

Since the UFC 272 odds for Colby are so low, going for the over 4.5 rounds option valued at -150 is the better pick.

UFC 272 Main Card Betting Odds and Predictions

A quick look at the full UFC 272 main card shows there are four other exciting matches that deserve your attention. The fighters involved are a good mix of young and experienced athletes from different categories.

Let’s check the latest UFC 272 lines for all encounters on the schedule.

Rafael dos Anjos vs. Rafael Fiziev Odds and Prediction

  • Rafael dos Anjos to Win; +206
  • Rafael Fiziev to Win; -241

The battle of the Rafaels was supposed to happen on February 19, but a visa delay for the Kyrgyzstani fighter forced the UFC to postpone the clash.

It was moved to UFC 272 instead, and it looks everything is fine this time around.


It’s important to note that this is a 5-round fight. Fiziev is yet to participate in such a clash in his career, but he is the favorite nonetheless.

The Kyrgyzstani athlete is in his prime and has won five UFC bouts in a row. The last four of them brought him either the Performance of the Night or the Fight of the Night bonus.

The problem is that Fiziev is yet to face an opponent like dos Anjos. The Brazilian had a bad stint in the welterweight division, but he returned to lightweight with a victory over Paul Felder.

Dos Anjos is a dangerous opponent and the first major test for Fiziev. I expect a close fight that could go all the way. The odds for the veteran are simply too high to refuse, so I’d take them in a heartbeat.

Edson Barboza vs. Bryce Mitchell Odds and Prediction

  • Edson Barboza to Win; +130
  • Bryce Mitchell to Win; -150

We have another experienced Brazilian who’s facing a younger prospect in this fight. Edson Barboza’s UFC career started back in 2010, and he’s seen everything in the sport.

He was mostly a lightweight fighter but decided to drop to featherweight in 2020. Barboza’s record in the division stands at 2-2 two years later. The Brazilian is an excellent gatekeeper for hot prospects like Bryce Mitchell.

The 27-year-old American earned a spot in the UFC roster after his impressive The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated performance.

The guy won his first four bouts in the organization, so it’s time to see how good he is against a seasoned pro like Barboza. Mitchell enters the fight as a slight favorite after his strong streak.

The American’s Brazilian jiu-jitsu is truly elite, but he hasn’t fought in a long time after breaking his hand in 2020. I expect some rust and a slow start for Mitchell as a result. And yet, I think he will dominate once he finds his rhythm and go on to win the match.

Kevin Holland vs. Alex Oliveira Odds and Prediction

  • Kevin Holland to Win; -250
  • Alex Oliveira to Win; +150

Kevin Holland and Alex Oliveira will face each other in a clash that might put an end to the loser’s UFC career. Both fighters have struggled badly recently and need a win.

The American lost twice in the middleweight division and had a no-contest after an incidental clash of heads in 2021. He decided to return to the welterweight division for the first time since 2017 to resurrect his career.

The promotion matched him with fellow struggler Alex Oliveira. The Brazilian is on a three-fight losing streak and was finished twice in the first round over that period.

Holland should be able to beat Oliveira, but who knows how the weight cut to welterweight will impact him.

I don’t like the odds for the favorite, so I advise you not to bet on this fight.

 Sergey Spivak vs. Greg Hardy Odds and Prediction

  • Sergey Spivak to Win; -205
  • Greg Hardy to Win; +175

The last clash is in the heavyweight division. Sergey Spivak will face Greg Hardy, and the UFC 272 betting odds suggest that the Moldovan should win this one.

His record is far more impressive, but I wouldn’t count Greg Hardy out. He can certainly finish his opponent, and we’ve seen Spivak KO-ed before.


I’m fairly confident that this match won’t go the distance, so backing any of the fighters to simply win outright doesn’t make sense.

My advice here is to go for a knockout victory instead. My money would be on Spivak, but I won’t be shocked if Hardy gets the job done.


The best MMA sportsbooks online offer UFC 272 betting odds on the undercard as well. I also expect plenty of props for the main event to appear in the last day or two before the show.

If you want to pick the best UFC 272 bets on your own, I suggest checking our tips for betting on UFC fights. They can help you dissect every single clash and properly evaluate the chances of both fighters.